There was a spike in the number of murders reported by the South African Police Service in March, when 2,550 people were killed, an average of 82 a day.

According to the latest data from the SAPS, one in every five of the 12,734 murders reported in the first half of 2024 were in March. The average number a day for the six-month period is 70, so March is an outlier.

For the past two years, reported murders in the first half of the year have averaged 69 a day.

It’s not clear from the provincial data if the March murders were localised because, as usual, almost half (46%) of the murders reported in March were in Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal. None of the other provinces showed a notable increase in murders.

The first six months of the year are generally not peak periods for murder in South Africa. Interpersonal violence typically spikes over the festive season because people spend more time together. ‘This leads to more arguments, often fuelled by alcohol and/or drugs,’ says Lizette Lancaster at the Institute of Security Studies. In December last year, 2,846 people were killed.